Is Donald Trump winning the 2024 election? OK, that’s a rhetorical question; the answer at this juncture is, of course, “we don’t know.” There’s a famous old saying that’s famous and old for a reason, that reason being that it’s accurate: “The only poll that counts in on Election Day.” But this is something of a key election, with a former president on one ticket and a cackling nitwit on the other; it’s amazing and somewhat baffling that the polling is as close as it is. Individual polls, though, mean little; for the last several cycles there have been just too many errors and mis-calls from pollsters. But one can glean some information from polling averages and trends, which RealClearPolitics compiles, and it’s fun to look at those averages and trends to get some kind of a feel for where things stand.
So, let’s do that.
The RealClearPolitics averages for the battleground states, as of this writing, in a one-on-one Trump/Harris matchup show:
- Arizona: Trump +1.4
- Nevada: Harris +1.1
- Wisconsin: Harris +0.8
- Michigan: Harris +0.7
- Pennsylvania: Tie
- North Carolina: Trump +0.6
- Georgia: Trump +1.5
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— Read More: redstate.com
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