Republicans in Nevada are seeing a 95% improvement in early voting turnout compared to previous elections, as Democrats struggle to mobilize their base. Key to this shift is Republican success in engaging low-propensity voters, signaling a major challenge for Democrats heading into 2024, according to Luke Mahoney and Alex Degrasse, who discussed these details on Monday night’s WarRoom.
95% Improvement in GOP Early Voting
Alex DeGrasse and Luke Mahoney highlighted a dramatic shift in early voting in Nevada for the 2024 election. Compared to 2022, where Democrats had a 40,000-ballot lead after the first day of early voting, this year that gap has shrunk to just 1,800 ballots. DeGrasse emphasized this as a “95% improvement” for Republicans, showcasing the party’s growing momentum in a critical swing state.
Mahoney underscored the importance of this achievement: “This is absolutely phenomenal,” he said, noting how this drastic improvement in early turnout could shape the entire election.
Democrats Relying on High-Propensity Voters
One key reason for the Republican surge is that Democrats are relying heavily on their high-propensity voters—those who have consistently voted in the last four elections. According to DeGrasse, “43.7% of early voting Democrats are four out of four voters.” This means Democrats are essentially pulling from their most reliable base. Meanwhile, Republicans are expanding their reach by engaging lower-propensity voters, a group that historically has been harder to mobilize. […]
— Read More: warroom.org
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